IDC predicts a 7.4 percent growth for the entire market

Aug 31, 2021 07:26 GMT  ·  By

Apple is getting ready to launch new iPhones as part of its typical September event, and a report from IDC predicts that the arrival of the 2021 generation would help boost the mobile market to a new important growth this year.

The total shipments for 2021 are likely to be up 7.4 percent over the previous year, with 1.37 billion units sold worldwide. The growth would continue in 2022 and 2023, though it’d be slower at just 3.4 percent.

But when it comes to the models that would power the whole thing, the iPhone is getting the top prize, as its growth will be more than double than the one recorded by Android.

“The 7.4% growth can be attributed to a healthy 13.8% growth from iOS devices combined with 6.2% growth from Android. Although COVID-19 drastically impacted 2020 shipments, 2021 shipments have managed to display minimal growth compared to 2019 (pre-pandemic) volumes, giving us a more accurate view of the state of the market. The world's largest markets – China, the United States, and Western Europe – will still be down from 2019, but growing markets such as India, Japan, the Middle East, and Africa are fueling the recovery,” IDC says.

5G devices bringing home the bacon

Needless to say, 5G models would continue to be the one spearheading the boost, and IDC says that 4G models are likely to record an important average selling price drop.

“The ASP of a 5G smartphone will reach $634 in 2021, which is flat from $632 in 2020. However, 4G devices continue to witness a massive price decline as the ASP drops to $206, representing a nearly 30% decline from last year ($277),” It says.

China will remain the leader in terms of 5G adoption with a total share of over 47 percent.