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The Console Wars-More Predictable Than You Thought

No more spokesmen and official statements, the Internet will give you the answer

By Filip Truta, Games Editor

17th of February 2007, 15:03 GMT

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The past year has given us a pretty good idea of where each next-gen console is standing. While Nintendo's Wii has sold like water in the desert and Microsoft's Xbox 360 is catching up, the PS3's
figures were a surprise for everyone, a negative one that is, including Sony the company that made it and the world's largest game maker that holds a pretty good number of PS3 shares, Electronic Arts.

Why were Electronic Arts dead wrong on their approach with the PS3, it could remain a mystery, or why did Sony mess up so bad on practically every level when launching their console, again, we may never know for sure, but flipping through pages on the net may give us a clue and I'm not talking about those official press releases giving the official statements of the big companies' spokesmen. No, those guys always speak in the favor of their companies, naturally, and the only way you, a total and undeniable gamer, will know the truth is by reading what those of your age have written.

Roger Ehrenberg at Information Arbitrage also feels that collective Internet best predicts the status of every video game on the market and he also provides us with a possible answer on why EA was wrong in predicting the PS3's future:

"The internet conversation has been an incredibly good predictor of the actual outcomes for Nintendo, EA and Sony. While the game is certainly not over, it is pretty amazing to consider how directionally correct all of these online experts and users have been. It has been fascinating to see the process of EA's coming to the realization that they got their bets dead wrong, and to see how they've adjusted strategy in the wake of new information. I'd say EA is now trying to manage risks after they have become reality, kind of like buying health insurance after you've been diagnosed with a terminal illness." And isn't he right?
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