The GSM and CDMA markets will decline dramatically by 2013

Feb 5, 2009 11:59 GMT  ·  By

According to a recently published report from Dell’Oro Group, the mobile infrastructure market is expected to see some rough times in the future. The Dell’Oro Group 5-Year Forecast Report states that the market will see a revenue decline during the following three successive years, which translates into a contraction of the total market revenue of about 7 percent between 2009 and 2011.

“The revenue contraction in 2009 is directly attributable to the downturn in the economy,” stated Scott Siegler, senior analyst of Mobile Infrastructure research at Dell’Oro Group.

“Looking beyond 2009, while we anticipate seeing significant growth in the 3G, and even 4G technologies, this growth will not be enough to outpace the steep and rapid declines in the GSM and CDMA markets. It is not until 2012, when the WCDMA market returns to its double-digit growth rate, and LTE revenue triples, that the total infrastructure market will return to becoming a growth market. We forecast revenue growth to exceed 10 percent between 2012 and 2013,” Siegler also added.

The Dell’Oro Group report also unveils the fact that GSM and CDMA markets will see a fast drop during the following five years. According to it, while last year the two markets combined accounted for more than 70 percent of the total infrastructure market revenue, as a result of the decline they will represent less than 20 percent of the revenue by 2013. The market will only see some growth starting with 2012.

A networking and telecommunications industry market information source, the Dell’Oro Group offers with this report an overall view of the Mobility Infrastructure industry. The report provides information on manufacturers’ revenue, transceivers or RF carrier shipments, average selling prices, unit shipments for base station controllers, as well as for mobile switching centers for GSM/GPRS/EDGE, CDMA, WCDMA, Mobile WiMAX, and 3G LTE.