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September 28th, 2011, 01:31 GMT · By

Many Sun-Like Stars Have Planets Inside Habitable Zones

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About one in three Sun-like stars may have a planet orbiting inside its habitable zone, Caltech investigators say
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According to the conclusions of a new astronomical study, it would appear that as many as one third of all Sun-like stars out there have extrasolar planets in orbit, revolving around their stars within the habitable zone. This area allows for the existence of liquid water on the planetary surface.

The new number was calculated from datasets beamed back by the NASA Kepler Telescope. This particular spacecraft is dedicated exclusively to searching for Earth-sized exoplanets in a batch of the night sky containing about 150,000 stars.

This observatory single-handedly contributed hundreds of exoplanets to known classifications, and about 1,235 more candidates await confirmation. Astronomers expect Kepler's success rate to stand at about 80 percent, maybe more.

Given the sheer size of Kepler's haul, experts were able to input all the data in computer models, and then use the simulations to derive statistical projections. This is how experts at the California Institute of Technology (Caltech), in Pasadena, came up with the new numbers.

While the bulk of the work was focused on analyzing the traits of exoplanets and candidates Kepler identified, a parallel effort sought to introduce all available results inside computer models. More data contribute to making the model more reliable, experts say.

Caltech team leader Wesley Traub says that the newest study was focused exclusively on Sun-like stars, sporting the classification F, G or K. The simulation indicates that mid-sized planets are just as likely to be found around large and small stars alike.

But only very few exoplanets can be found around dim stars, the same data revealed. Kepler has a tendency to identify planets that are very close to their parent star, which is where they are most visible.

But the stars' habitable zones stretch further away into their respective systems than the orbits these close companions take. The data analysis software Traub and his group used focused on the chances of other alien worlds existing within these habitable zones, Technology Review reports.

The simulation reveals that “about one-third of FGK stars are predicted to have at least one terrestrial, habitable-zone planet,” the team leader explains. Undoubtedly, as observations technologies become more advanced, some of these worlds will be revealed to us.

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Comment #1 by: Big Star on 03 Nov 2011, 23:25 UTC reply to this comment

The Kepler stars, from the study, used to extrapolate this optimistic sounding prediction, are all larger than our sun. Even, the K-class stars (G8V-K2V as defined by the study), which you would expect to be much smaller than our sun, actually in this study have a much larger mass and an even greater luminosity than our sun.

They tried to eliminate one bias, the exoplanet radius bias but in doing so they introduced a sampling bias. So, perhaps the stars, the study chose to extrapolate from are so atypical, because they are so big, that their prediction is too biased to trust?

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