Hawaii Set to Be Hit by More Hurricanes in the Years to Come

On May 5, the scientific journal Nature Climate Chance witnessed the publication of a new study stating that the predicted increase in global average temperatures, together with the weather changes that go hand in hand with it, will lead to Hawaii's getting hit by ever more hurricanes.

Throughout the past 30 years, only two such storms have made landfall in Hawaii.

However, the researchers who pieced together said study claim that, according to their investigation, the number of tropical cyclones that hit Hawaii will either double or maybe even triple by the last quarter of this century.

EurekAlert says that, in order to reach these conclusions, the scientists used a state-of-the-art global climate model to compare the frequency of recent tropical cyclones in the Hawaii region to weather changes bound to take place by 2075-2099.

The predicted weather changes taken into consideration for this study could all be traced back to an increase in the amounts of greenhouse gas emissions that human society has produced, the same source informs us.

Study lead author Hiroyuki Murakami commented on his and his fellow researchers' findings as follows:

“In our study, we looked at all tropical cyclones, which range in intensity from tropical storms to full-blown category 5 hurricanes.”

“From 1979 to 2003, both observational records and our model document that only every four years on average did a tropical cyclone come near Hawaii. Our projections for the end of this century show a two-to-three-fold increase for this region,” said specialist went on to detail.

All things considered, it appears that most of the violent storms expected to hit Hawaii at some point in the not so distant future will form in the eastern regions of the Pacific, towards the south of the Baja California Peninsula.

Although the eastern Pacific will not experience a boost in the number of tropical cyclones it “fathers,” it appears that ever more of its “offspring” will be presented with the conditions they need in order to make landfall in Hawaii.

“Our finding that more tropical cyclones will approach Hawaii as Earth continues to warm is fairly robust because we ran our experiments with different model versions and under varying conditions. The yearly number we project, however, still remains very low,” study co-author Bin Wang wished to emphasize.