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March 18th, 2009, 07:44 GMT · By

Geoengineering Scheme Could Backfire

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Solar panel electricity production could fall by 20 percent under the new scheme
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In addition to the traditional “approaches” to stopping global warming and climate change, such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions and installing clean technologies at power plants, scientists also ponder larger schemes, at a planetary scale. Among them, sprinkling the world's oceans with iron particles, so as to boost the mass of plankton in them, is one of the most favored. Another one, however, seeks to inject other types of particles directly into the atmosphere, so as to reduce the amount of sunlight that reaches the surface of the planet.

But this plan, even though it's receiving an increased number of proponents, seems more and more condemned to fail, experts say, on account of the fact that it will take away from one of the most important resources in the world today – the sun. In a few decades, oil and natural gases will completely disappear, so the only source of electricity would come from biofuels, geothermal vents, winds and the sunlight. But, with the injection of cooling and reflective particles in the air, the light would be scattered and thus lose its focus.

And while this is nothing but good news for the planet in terms of reducing global warming, it also means that solar power plants would register a very sharp decrease in production, which would further make fossil fuel lobbyists increase their efforts for oil and coal. Already, the discrepancies that these renewable power plants record between daily productions are a cause of concern, but if the output decreases constantly, as in if there is less light hitting the solar cells, then critics might very well win.

The current idea of a geoengineering scheme has come to scientists after noticing the effects that volcanic eruptions have on the mean temperatures within a year. They have seen that large amounts of ash spilled into the atmosphere indeed increase those of the recorded greenhouse gases, but at the same time lower temperatures throughout the world, if the eruption is strong enough. When Mount Pinatubo erupted in the Philippines in 1991, global temperatures decreased by 1 degree Celsius for the next two years.

The downside was that the production of the largest solar power plant in the world, the Solar Electric Generating Stations in California, fell by more than 20 percent over those two years. And that's a pretty drastic drop. Now, experts are seeking to duplicate the results of Mount Pinatubo in the long run, but without actually using ash or other carbon compounds in the process. Engineers believe that sulfur particles may be the best alternative to this injection process, and that this chemical has the potential to offset other gases in the atmosphere, such as carbon dioxide and methane.


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Comment #1 by: Aaron on 18 Mar 2009, 14:19 UTC reply to this comment

"In a few decades, oil and natural gases will completely disappear, so the only source of electricity would come from biofuels, geothermal vents, winds and the sunlight. "

And what about nuclear??


Comment #2 by: Brad Arnold on 19 Mar 2009, 07:43 UTC reply to this comment

"The alternative (to geoengineering) is the acceptance of a massive natural cull of humanity and a return to an Earth that freely regulates itself but in the hot state." --Dr James Lovelock, August 2008

There is a simple and cheap way to immediately cool the Earth: just add a little sun dimming aerosol to the upper atmosphere. In the next couple decades, non-irrigated crops will increasingly fail due to record high temperatures:

"Few seem to realise that the present IPCC models predict almost unanimously that by 2040 the average summer in Europe will be as hot as the summer of 2003 when over 30,000 died from heat. By then we may cool ourselves with air conditioning and learn to live in a climate no worse than that of Baghdad now. But without extensive irrigation the plants will die and both farming and natural ecosystems will be replaced by scrub and desert. What will there be to eat? The same dire changes will affect the rest of the world and I can envisage Americans migrating into Canada and the Chinese into Siberia but there may be little food for any of them." --Dr James Lovelock's lecture to the Royal Society, 29 Oct. '07

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