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April 21st, 2008, 14:29 GMT · By Bogdan Botezatu

AT&T Warns Users on Internet Low Disk Space

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The Internet in flesh and bones
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US-based telecommunications giant AT&T has issued a warning regarding the fact that the Internet's current architecture will reach its maximum capacity until 2010. The study conducted by AT&T relies on the assumption that there
will be no other investments in the Internet's infrastructure.

According to Jim Cicconi, vice president of legislative affairs for AT&T, the currently existing Internet servers will not be able to meet the increased demands in storage, especially in businesses related to video- and file-sharing.

"The surge in online content is at the center of the most dramatic changes affecting the internet today. In three years' time, 20 typical households will generate more traffic than the entire internet today," he claimed during the Westminster eForum on Web 2.0.

Cicconi also said that the Internet requires at least $55 billion worth of investment in order to improve its infrastructure in the US alone. Worldwide investments are expected to reach about $130 billion. "We are going to be butting up against the physical capacity of the Internet by 2010," he continued.

High-definition content is the most important factor in the wearing-out process. For instance, recent reports claim that YouTube users upload about eight hours of video content per minute, but the required bandwidth is kept to a minimum thanks to the video file's low bitrate.

"Everything will become HD very soon and HD is seven to 10 times more bandwidth-hungry than typical video today. Video will be 80 percent of all traffic by 2010, up from 30 percent today," Cicconi continued.

AT&T also said that the Internet is the creation of a group of private companies that provide the necessary infrastructure. The company executive explained that the Internet is somewhat similar to the highway networks that are maintained by private investors.

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READER COMMENTS:


Comment #1 by: Jawsh on 21 Apr 2008, 18:07 UTC reply to this comment

Of course, we must be able to see what AT&T is doing here. These figures are based on the assumption that there will be no more investments on the infrastructure from now until then, thus limiting the bandwidth that we all share. This would then allow the big ISPs to start charging more for certain content, leading to a bigger payoff for them. It is the battle between invest and get money or... don't invest and get money. As a business, this is sensible. As a monopoly, this is ludicrous. This is halting innovation! If Japan can deliver their residents 50-100mb lines, then why can't America?
Don't say its because we are bigger... thats bullocks. Being bigger also means bigger revenue for ISPs and it scales accordingly.

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